Padres at Pirates
Last play · Yasmani Grandal grounds out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Donovan Solano.
Win probability
Pirates0%
SD 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 5 – 4 PIT
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-165 / +140
Pirates favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Donovan Solano scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 4) — -38% Padres
10Isiah Kiner-Falefa reaches on a fielder's choice out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to catcher Luis Campusano. Andrew McCutchen out at home. Bryan Reynolds to 3rd.9–8
10Bryan Reynolds walks. Oneil Cruz scores. Michael A. Taylor to 3rd. Andrew McCutchen to 2nd.9–7
10Jackson Merrill out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Xander Bogaerts scores.9–6
10Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Ha-Seong Kim scores.8–6
10Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Luis Arraez scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 3rd.7–6
9Jackson Merrill homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.6–6
6Andrew McCutchen singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ke'Bryan Hayes scores. Ji Hwan Bae scores.5–6
5Jackson Merrill singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Manny Machado scores.5–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
