Padres at Pirates
Last play · Ke'Bryan Hayes strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
SD 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 0 PIT
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Pirates favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Donovan Solano singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. David Peralta scores. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd. (inning 5) — -20% Padres
9Donovan Solano singles on a line drive to center fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar scores.6–0
5Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Jurickson Profar scores. Donovan Solano to 3rd.4–0
5Donovan Solano singles on a sharp ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. David Peralta scores. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.3–0
5Tyler Wade singles on a fly ball to shortstop Isiah Kiner-Falefa, deflected by center fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Jackson Merrill scores. David Peralta to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
