Padres at Pirates
Last play · Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
SD 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalSD 4 – 0 PIT
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Pirates favored ↑50%Padres favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka grounds into a force out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to shortstop Oneil Cruz. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Ha-Seong Kim out at 2nd. Kyle Higashioka to 1st. Throwing error by shortstop Oneil Cruz. (inning 9) — -71% Padres
9Rowdy Tellez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Joey Bart scores.7–6
9Luis Arraez doubles (21) on a fly ball to right fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Kyle Higashioka scores.7–5
9Kyle Higashioka grounds into a force out, second baseman Isiah Kiner-Falefa to shortstop Oneil Cruz. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jackson Merrill scores. Ha-Seong Kim out at 2nd. Kyle Higashioka to 1st. Throwing error by shortstop Oneil Cruz.6–5
7Joey Bart homers (9) on a fly ball to left center field. Oneil Cruz scores.4–5
6Ji Hwan Bae singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Bryan De La Cruz scores. Ke'Bryan Hayes to 2nd.4–3
6Ke'Bryan Hayes walks.4–2
6Pirates challenged (tag play), call on the field was upheld: Oneil Cruz singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Bryan Reynolds scores. Oneil Cruz out at 2nd on the throw, center fielder Jackson Merrill to second baseman Jake Cronenworth.4–1
2David Peralta homers (4) on a fly ball to right field. Jackson Merrill scores.4–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
