Mariners at Pirates
Last play · Julio Rodríguez strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates100%
SEA 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalSEA 2 – 3 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +125
Pirates favored ↑50%Mariners favored ↓
Biggest swing · Rowdy Tellez homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Oneil Cruz scores. (inning 4) — +22% Pirates
7Rowdy Tellez hits a ground-rule double (15) on a fly ball down the left-field line. Joey Bart scores.2–7
7Joey Bart doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Victor Robles. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores.2–6
7Jared Triolo homers (5) on a fly ball to left center field.2–5
6Bryan De La Cruz singles on a line drive to right fielder Luke Raley. Joey Bart scores. Bryan De La Cruz to 2nd. Bryan De La Cruz advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by right fielder Luke Raley.2–4
5Jorge Polanco doubles (8) on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Julio Rodríguez scores.2–3
4Rowdy Tellez homers (10) on a fly ball to right center field. Oneil Cruz scores.1–3
2Victor Robles singles on a line drive to left fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Mitch Haniger scores. Leo Rivas to 2nd.1–1
1Isiah Kiner-Falefa homers (8) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
