Cubs at Pirates
Last play · Connor Joe strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CHC 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 9 – 2 PIT
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-120 / +100
Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Seiya Suzuki homers (19) on a fly ball to right field. Mike Tauchman scores. (inning 4) — -25% Cubs
9Oneil Cruz singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Tauchman. Nick Gonzales scores.9–5
9Nick Gonzales doubles (14) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Bryan Reynolds scores.9–4
6Bryan De La Cruz homers (19) on a fly ball to center field.9–3
5Miguel Amaya singles on a ground ball to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Nico Hoerner scores. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd.9–2
5Pete Crow-Armstrong walks. Cody Bellinger scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd. Dansby Swanson to 2nd.7–2
5Dansby Swanson walks. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Nico Hoerner to 2nd.6–2
4Dansby Swanson homers (12) on a fly ball to center field. Nico Hoerner scores.5–2
4Nico Hoerner doubles (28) on a line drive to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Isaac Paredes scores. Nico Hoerner to 3rd.3–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
