Reds at Pirates
Last play · Yasmani Grandal homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryan De La Cruz scores.
Win probability
Pirates100%
CIN 0%PIT 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 0 – 2 PIT
Pirates led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Pirates favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Yasmani Grandal homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryan De La Cruz scores. (inning 9) — +55% Pirates
9Yasmani Grandal homers (7) on a fly ball to right center field. Bryan De La Cruz scores.3–4
7Spencer Steer walks. Elly De La Cruz scores. Tyler Stephenson to 3rd. TJ Friedl to 2nd.3–2
7TJ Friedl hits a sacrifice bunt. Fielding error by pitcher Jalen Beeks. Jonathan India scores. Elly De La Cruz to 3rd. Tyler Stephenson to 2nd. TJ Friedl to 1st.2–2
7Elly De La Cruz singles on a line drive to center fielder Michael A. Taylor. Noelvi Marte scores. Jonathan India to 3rd. Elly De La Cruz to 2nd.1–2
3Bryan Reynolds singles on a line drive to center fielder TJ Friedl. Michael A. Taylor scores.0–2
1Joey Bart grounds out, second baseman Jonathan India to first baseman Dominic Smith. Isiah Kiner-Falefa scores. Oneil Cruz to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
