Cubs at Pirates
Last play · Bryan De La Cruz strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Pirates0%
CHC 100%PIT 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 3 – 2 PIT
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Pirates favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Miguel Amaya doubles (10) on a ground ball to left fielder Bryan Reynolds. Dansby Swanson scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong scores. (inning 6) — -24% Cubs
9Connor Joe homers (8) on a fly ball to left field. Billy McKinney scores.18–8
9Mike Tauchman walks. Patrick Wisdom scores. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 3rd. Miguel Amaya to 2nd.18–6
9Miguel Amaya hit by pitch. Isaac Paredes scores. Patrick Wisdom to 3rd. Pete Crow-Armstrong to 2nd.17–6
9Luis Vazquez out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Ji Hwan Bae. Cody Bellinger scores.16–6
9Isaac Paredes singles on a line drive to left fielder Billy McKinney. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd.15–6
9Cody Bellinger doubles (22) on a fly ball to right fielder Bryan De La Cruz. Michael Busch scores. Seiya Suzuki to 3rd.14–6
9Michael Busch singles on a line drive to left fielder Billy McKinney. Miguel Amaya scores.13–6
8Jared Triolo hit by pitch. Oneil Cruz scores. Bryan De La Cruz to 3rd. Yasmani Grandal to 2nd.12–6
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
