Reds at Padres
Last play · Santiago Espinal flies out to center fielder Jackson Merrill.
Win probability
Padres100%
CIN 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 2 – 2 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Padres favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth hits a grand slam (5) to right field. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 7) — +39% Padres
7Jake Cronenworth hits a grand slam (5) to right field. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.2–6
5Jeimer Candelario singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Santiago Espinal scores.2–2
4Jurickson Profar singles on a line drive to left fielder Spencer Steer. Jackson Merrill scores. Tyler Wade scores. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.1–2
1Spencer Steer homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








