Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Tyler Wade scores.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 0 – 1 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
9.5
opened 9.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-150 / +130
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Freddie Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Mookie Betts scores. (inning 8) — -26% Dodgers
9Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder James Outman. Tyler Wade scores.1–2
8Freddie Freeman out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Mookie Betts scores.1–1
3Luis Campusano homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








