Rockies at Padres
Last play · Manny Machado grounds into a double play, third baseman Ryan McMahon to second baseman Brendan Rodgers to first baseman Elehuris Montero. Jake Cronenworth out at 2nd. Manny Machado out at 1st.
Win probability
Padres0%
COL 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 5 – 1 SD
Rockies led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+210 / -250
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Elehuris Montero doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jake Cave scores. Elehuris Montero to 3rd. Elehuris Montero advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. (inning 4) — -26% Rockies
7Jackson Merrill homers (3) on a fly ball to right field.5–4
6Jurickson Profar homers (7) on a fly ball to right field. Manny Machado scores.5–3
4Ezequiel Tovar singles on a fly ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Charlie Blackmon scores.5–1
4Charlie Blackmon singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Elehuris Montero scores.4–1
4Elehuris Montero doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brendan Rodgers scores. Jake Cave scores. Elehuris Montero to 3rd. Elehuris Montero advances to 3rd, on a throwing error by shortstop Ha-Seong Kim.3–1
2Xander Bogaerts homers (4) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
2Elehuris Montero singles on a ground ball to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. Brenton Doyle scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








