Yankees at Padres
Last play · Jose Trevino grounds into a force out, fielded by second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Kevin Smith out at 2nd.
Win probability
Padres100%
NYY 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 0 – 0 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Padres favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ha-Seong Kim singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill to 2nd. (inning 6) — +19% Padres
9Alex Verdugo homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–5
7Manny Machado doubles (11) on a ground ball to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–5
6Fernando Tatis Jr. singles on a ground ball to pitcher Dennis Santana. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Luis Arraez to 2nd.1–4
6Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Jackson Merrill scores. Ha-Seong Kim to 3rd.1–3
6Ha-Seong Kim singles on a soft bunt ground ball to first baseman Anthony Rizzo. Manny Machado scores. Jackson Merrill to 2nd.1–2
6Jackson Merrill grounds into a force out, first baseman Anthony Rizzo to shortstop Anthony Volpe. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd. Donovan Solano out at 2nd. Jackson Merrill to 1st.1–1
6Juan Soto doubles (11) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Anthony Volpe scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
