Yankees at Padres
Last play · Luis Campusano grounds out, third baseman Oswaldo Cabrera to first baseman Anthony Rizzo.
Win probability
Padres0%
NYY 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 0 SD
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 8.5 ↓
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-130 / +110
Padres favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 1) — -22% Yankees
8Fernando Tatis Jr. homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.4–1
4Gleyber Torres out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Alex Verdugo scores.4–0
4Anthony Rizzo singles on a line drive to right fielder Fernando Tatis Jr. Aaron Judge scores. Alex Verdugo to 3rd.3–0
1Aaron Judge homers (17) on a fly ball to left center field. Anthony Volpe scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
