D-backs at Padres
Last play · Kevin Newman grounds out, third baseman Donovan Solano to first baseman Luis Arraez.
Win probability
Padres100%
AZ 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 12 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ha-Seong Kim homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. David Peralta scores. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — +21% Padres
6Kyle Higashioka homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.1–13
5David Peralta doubles (2) on a line drive to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth scores.1–12
5Donovan Solano out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Jake McCarthy. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.1–10
5Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Kyle Higashioka scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.1–9
5Eugenio Suárez singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Christian Walker scores. Lourdes Gurriel Jr. to 3rd. Blaze Alexander to 2nd.1–8
4Jackson Merrill doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. David Peralta scores.0–8
4Jake Cronenworth homers (9) on a fly ball to center field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Jurickson Profar scores.0–7
2Ha-Seong Kim homers (9) on a line drive to left center field. David Peralta scores. Jackson Merrill scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














