D-backs at Padres
Last play · Jake Cronenworth called out on strikes.
Win probability
Padres0%
AZ 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 3 – 3 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 56.2% · hold 3.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth doubles (15) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Throwing error by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (inning 5) — +29% Padres
7Ketel Marte singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Corbin Carroll scores. Ketel Marte to 2nd. Ketel Marte advances to 2nd, on a fielding error by left fielder Jurickson Profar.4–3
5Jake Cronenworth doubles (15) on a fly ball to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Luis Arraez scores. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. Throwing error by left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr.3–3
5Kyle Higashioka homers (3) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
2Gabriel Moreno homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.3–0
2Eugenio Suárez homers (5) on a fly ball to center field.2–0
1Christian Walker doubles (11) on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Corbin Carroll scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














