Athletics at Padres
Last play · Jackson Merrill homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
Padres100%
OAK 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalOAK 0 – 2 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+190 / -225
Padres favored ↑50%Athletics favored ↓
Biggest swing · Donovan Solano homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores. (inning 8) — +45% Padres
9Jackson Merrill homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.4–5
8Donovan Solano homers (3) on a fly ball to center field. Fernando Tatis Jr. scores.4–4
8Zack Gelof doubles (7) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Seth Brown scores. Zack Gelof to 3rd.4–2
6Seth Brown singles on a bunt ground ball to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim. Tyler Soderstrom scores. Shea Langeliers to 2nd.3–2
6Shea Langeliers singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder José Azocar. Miguel Andujar scores. Tyler Soderstrom to 2nd.2–2
6Tyler Soderstrom singles on a ground ball to left fielder José Azocar. JJ Bleday scores. Miguel Andujar to 2nd.1–2
5Jackson Merrill homers (4) on a fly ball to center field.0–2
2Donovan Solano homers (2) on a fly ball to left center field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














