Nationals at Padres
Last play · Nick Senzel grounds into a double play, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to second baseman Jake Cronenworth to first baseman Donovan Solano. Harold Ramírez out at 2nd. Nick Senzel out at 1st.
Win probability
Padres100%
WSH 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 0 – 4 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Padres favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Merrill scores. (inning 2) — +20% Padres
9Harold Ramírez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Bryce Johnson, deflected by second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Luis García Jr. scores.5–8
9Luis García Jr. doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Bryce Johnson. Lane Thomas scores. Joey Meneses scores.4–8
9Lane Thomas doubles (8) on a ground ball to left fielder Tyler Wade. Jacob Young scores. Nasim Nuñez scores.2–8
8Kyle Higashioka hits a grand slam (8) to left field. Manny Machado scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. Ha-Seong Kim scores.0–8
4Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jacob Young. Kyle Higashioka scores.0–4
4Bryce Johnson out on a sacrifice bunt, third baseman Nick Senzel to first baseman Joey Meneses. Kyle Higashioka to 3rd.0–3
2Kyle Higashioka homers (7) on a fly ball to left field. Jackson Merrill scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














