Nationals at Padres
Last play · Lane Thomas pops out to second baseman Jake Cronenworth.
Win probability
Padres100%
WSH 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalWSH 4 – 5 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+155 / -185
Padres favored ↑50%Nationals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Donovan Solano singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Luis García Jr. Manny Machado scores. Jake Cronenworth scores. (inning 5) — +30% Padres
9CJ Abrams singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jacob Young scores.7–9
8Harold Ramírez doubles (4) on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Lane Thomas scores.6–9
8Joey Meneses out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Bryce Johnson. CJ Abrams scores.5–9
6Jurickson Profar hits a grand slam (11) to right field. Kyle Higashioka scores. Bryce Johnson scores. Luis Arraez scores.4–9
5Donovan Solano singles on a sharp ground ball to second baseman Luis García Jr. Manny Machado scores. Jake Cronenworth scores.4–5
5Jake Cronenworth singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesse Winker. Luis Arraez scores. Manny Machado to 3rd. Jake Cronenworth to 2nd.4–3
3Jesse Winker homers (9) on a fly ball to right center field. Lane Thomas scores.4–2
3Lane Thomas triples (3) on a line drive to right fielder Bryce Johnson. Jacob Young scores.2–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














