Brewers at Padres
Last play · Ha-Seong Kim grounds out, shortstop Willy Adames to first baseman Jake Bauers.
Win probability
Padres0%
MIL 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIL 5 – 1 SD
Brewers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Padres favored ↑50%Brewers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Blake Perkins singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick scores. (inning 2) — -18% Brewers
8Manny Machado out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Blake Perkins. Jurickson Profar scores.6–2
7Jake Bauers singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jackson Chourio scores. Christian Yelich out at 3rd on the throw, center fielder Jackson Merrill to first baseman Luis Arraez to third baseman Manny Machado.6–1
5Luis Arraez singles on a line drive to right fielder Jake Bauers. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Brett Sullivan to 3rd.5–1
2Tyler Black singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brice Turang scores.5–0
2Brice Turang triples (2) on a line drive to right fielder David Peralta. Blake Perkins scores.4–0
2Blake Perkins singles on a fly ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Joey Ortiz scores. Sal Frelick scores.3–0
2Sal Frelick singles on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Willy Adames scores. Joey Ortiz to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














