D-backs at Padres
Last play · Kyle Higashioka flies out to left fielder Jake McCarthy.
Win probability
Padres0%
AZ 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 2 – 1 SD
D-backs led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Randal Grichuk to 2nd. (inning 10) — -44% D-backs
10Donovan Solano doubles (9) on a line drive to right fielder Corbin Carroll. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.7–5
10Jake McCarthy grounds into a force out, shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to second baseman Jake Cronenworth. Randal Grichuk scores. Christian Walker out at 2nd. Jake McCarthy to 1st.7–4
10Christian Walker singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Corbin Carroll scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores. Randal Grichuk to 2nd.6–4
8Ha-Seong Kim doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Donovan Solano scores.4–4
7Jake Cronenworth singles on a soft bunt ground ball to third baseman Eugenio Suárez. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.4–3
7Jurickson Profar doubles (16) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Lourdes Gurriel Jr. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd.4–2
7Geraldo Perdomo triples (1) on a ground ball to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Jose Herrera scores.4–1
7Jose Herrera doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Kevin Newman scores.3–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














