D-backs at Padres
Last play · Manny Machado flies out to right fielder Corbin Carroll.
Win probability
Padres0%
AZ 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalAZ 1 – 1 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+140 / -165
Padres favored ↑50%D-backs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Eugenio Suárez homers (7) on a line drive to left field. Geraldo Perdomo scores. (inning 7) — -31% D-backs
9Corbin Carroll grounds into a double play, second baseman Jake Cronenworth to shortstop Ha-Seong Kim to first baseman Luis Arraez. Alek Thomas scores. Kevin Newman out at 2nd. Corbin Carroll out at 1st.9–1
9Alek Thomas hits a ground-rule double (2) on a fly ball to left-center field. Eugenio Suárez scores.8–1
9Eugenio Suárez doubles (13) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Christian Walker scores. Jake McCarthy scores. Geraldo Perdomo scores.7–1
8Gabriel Moreno singles on a line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Kevin Newman scores.4–1
7Eugenio Suárez homers (7) on a line drive to left field. Geraldo Perdomo scores.3–1
1Jurickson Profar homers (14) on a line drive to right field.1–1
1Corbin Carroll homers (3) on a fly ball to right center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














