Dodgers at Padres
Last play · Donovan Solano singles on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Kyle Higashioka to 3rd. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.
Win probability
Padres100%
LAD 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalLAD 5 – 3 SD
Dodgers led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Padres favored ↑50%Dodgers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jackson Merrill homers (13) on a fly ball to right field. (inning 9) — +42% Padres
10Donovan Solano singles on a ground ball to left fielder Teoscar Hernández. Ha-Seong Kim scores. Kyle Higashioka to 3rd. Jurickson Profar to 2nd.5–6
9Jackson Merrill homers (13) on a fly ball to right field.5–5
9Manny Machado homers (16) on a fly ball to left center field.5–4
3Jake Cronenworth doubles (20) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jason Heyward. Jurickson Profar scores.5–3
3Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Jason Heyward. Luis Arraez scores.5–2
2Manny Machado homers (15) on a line drive to center field.5–1
1Cavan Biggio homers (5) on a fly ball to right field. Andy Pages scores.5–0
1Andy Pages singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Will Smith scores. Jason Heyward scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
