Rockies at Padres
Last play · Michael Toglia grounds out softly, second baseman Xander Bogaerts to first baseman Jake Cronenworth.
Win probability
Padres100%
COL 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 1 SD
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -215
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Xander Bogaerts singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Hunter Goodman. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd. (inning 7) — +21% Padres
8Jacob Stallings homers (6) on a fly ball to left field.2–3
7Jackson Merrill out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Hunter Goodman. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 2nd.1–3
7Xander Bogaerts singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Hunter Goodman. Jake Cronenworth scores. Manny Machado to 3rd.1–2
5David Peralta grounds out, second baseman Brendan Rodgers to first baseman Michael Toglia. Manny Machado scores. Xander Bogaerts to 3rd.1–1
3Hunter Goodman homers (8) on a fly ball to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
