Rockies at Padres
Last play · Jackson Merrill strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres0%
COL 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 2 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
8.5
opened 8.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -210
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kris Bryant singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brenton Doyle scores. Ryan McMahon scores. Brendan Rodgers to 2nd. (inning 6) — -31% Rockies
7Ryan McMahon out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ezequiel Tovar scores.5–2
6Jake Cave singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brendan Rodgers scores. Kris Bryant to 3rd.4–2
6Kris Bryant singles on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Brenton Doyle scores. Ryan McMahon scores. Brendan Rodgers to 2nd.3–2
4Donovan Solano homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.1–2
2Manny Machado homers (17) on a line drive to left center field.1–1
2Brendan Rodgers homers (8) on a line drive to left center field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
