Braves at Padres
Last play · Jurickson Profar lines out to right fielder Adam Duvall.
Win probability
Padres0%
ATL 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 2 – 1 SD
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-160 / +135
Padres favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Travis d'Arnaud homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna scores. (inning 6) — -28% Braves
8Travis d'Arnaud homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.6–3
7Luis Campusano homers (6) on a fly ball to right center field. Ha-Seong Kim scores.5–3
6Travis d'Arnaud homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Matt Olson scores. Marcell Ozuna scores.5–1
5Adam Duvall singles on a sharp line drive to left fielder Jurickson Profar. Travis d'Arnaud scores.2–1
4Matt Olson singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Ozzie Albies scores.1–1
1Xander Bogaerts singles on a line drive to center fielder Jarred Kelenic. Donovan Solano scores. Manny Machado to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














