Rockies at Padres
Last play · Hunter Goodman strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Padres100%
COL 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCOL 1 – 3 SD
Padres led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 54.3% · hold 4.1%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+175 / -215
Padres favored ↑50%Rockies favored ↓
Biggest swing · Kyle Higashioka homers (13) on a fly ball to left field. (inning 5) — +22% Padres
8Manny Machado singles on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Cave. Jurickson Profar scores. Jake Cronenworth to 3rd.2–10
8Jake Cronenworth doubles (22) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Jake Cave. Kyle Higashioka scores. Luis Arraez scores. Jurickson Profar to 3rd.2–9
7Manny Machado hits a ground-rule double (20) on a line drive to right-center field. Jurickson Profar scores.2–7
7Jacob Stallings homers (7) on a fly ball to left field.2–6
6David Peralta homers (3) on a line drive to right center field. Xander Bogaerts scores. Jackson Merrill scores.1–6
5Jurickson Profar homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.1–3
5Kyle Higashioka homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.1–2
4Brenton Doyle homers (19) on a fly ball to left field.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
