Mets at Padres
Last play · Jake Cronenworth grounds out, first baseman Pete Alonso to pitcher Huascar Brazobán.
Win probability
Padres0%
NYM 100%SD 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYM 3 – 1 SD
Mets led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+115 / -135
Padres favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓
Biggest swing · Jake Cronenworth grounds into a double play, second baseman Jose Iglesias to shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Mason McCoy scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Jurickson Profar out at 2nd. Jake Cronenworth out at 1st. (inning 5) — +13% Padres
9Jurickson Profar singles on a ground ball to right fielder Tyrone Taylor. Luis Campusano scores. Mason McCoy to 3rd.8–3
9Mason McCoy singles on a line drive to left fielder Brandon Nimmo. David Peralta scores. Luis Campusano to 2nd.8–2
9Jose Iglesias singles on a ground ball to third baseman Manny Machado. Jesse Winker scores.8–1
9Jesse Winker doubles (21) on a line drive to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Pete Alonso scores. Jesse Winker to 3rd.7–1
9Pete Alonso singles on a ground ball to right fielder David Peralta. Francisco Lindor scores.6–1
9Mark Vientos singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jackson Merrill. Jeff McNeil scores. Tyrone Taylor scores. Francisco Lindor to 2nd.5–1
5Jake Cronenworth grounds into a double play, second baseman Jose Iglesias to shortstop Francisco Lindor to first baseman Pete Alonso. Mason McCoy scores. Luis Arraez to 3rd. Jurickson Profar out at 2nd. Jake Cronenworth out at 1st.3–1
4Jeff McNeil singles on a ground ball to shortstop Mason McCoy. Jose Iglesias scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
