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Mets at Padres

NYM2SD3
Final
Inn123456789RHE
NYM000100100270
SD000000021370
Last play · Jackson Merrill homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.
Win probability
Padres100%
NYM 0%SD 100%
First 5 (F5)
final
NYM 10 SD
Mets led after 5
Inning 4: J.D. Martinez homers (15) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 7: Mark Vientos homers (21) on a fly ball to center field.Inning 8: Jurickson Profar homers (21) on a line drive to right field. Mason McCoy scores.Inning 9: Jackson Merrill homers (19) on a fly ball to right field.
Padres favored ↑50%Mets favored ↓

Biggest swing · Jurickson Profar homers (21) on a line drive to right field. Mason McCoy scores. (inning 8) — +45% Padres

Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.