Reds at Giants
Last play · Casey Schmitt hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball to left-center field. Luis Matos scores. Blake Sabol to 3rd.
Win probability
Giants100%
CIN 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 5 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · LaMonte Wade Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Chapman scores. (inning 5) — +29% Giants
10Casey Schmitt hits a ground-rule double (1) on a fly ball to left-center field. Luis Matos scores. Blake Sabol to 3rd.5–6
8Mike Ford homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.5–5
7Jake Fraley singles on a line drive to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Spencer Steer scores. Jonathan India to 2nd.4–5
5Blake Sabol singles on a ground ball to shortstop Elly De La Cruz. Heliot Ramos scores. Blake Sabol to 3rd. Throwing error by shortstop Elly De La Cruz.3–5
5Heliot Ramos singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Wilmer Flores scores.3–4
5LaMonte Wade Jr. homers (2) on a fly ball to right field. Matt Chapman scores.3–3
5Matt Chapman singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Stuart Fairchild. Tyler Fitzgerald scores.3–1
1Umpire reviewed (home run), call on the field was upheld: Jeimer Candelario doubles (8) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski, deflected by center fielder Jung Hoo Lee. TJ Friedl scores. Spencer Steer scores. Stuart Fairchild scores.3–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








