Reds at Giants
Last play · TJ Friedl grounds out softly, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Giants100%
CIN 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 1 – 4 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman hits a grand slam (5) to center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 1) — +23% Giants
7Patrick Bailey out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder TJ Friedl. Tyler Fitzgerald scores. Thairo Estrada to 3rd. LaMonte Wade Jr. to 2nd.1–5
4Elly De La Cruz homers (9) on a fly ball to center field.1–4
1Matt Chapman hits a grand slam (5) to center field. LaMonte Wade Jr. scores. Patrick Bailey scores. Heliot Ramos scores.0–4
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








