Reds at Giants
Last play · Blake Sabol strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
CIN 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalCIN 3 – 2 SF
Reds led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-145 / +125
Giants favored ↑50%Reds favored ↓
Biggest swing · TJ Friedl doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Will Benson scores. (inning 4) — -14% Reds
8Stuart Fairchild hits an inside-the-park home run (2) on a fly ball to left-center field.4–2
4TJ Friedl doubles (1) on a line drive to left fielder Michael Conforto. Will Benson scores.3–2
3Spencer Steer singles on a pop up to right fielder Heliot Ramos, deflected by first baseman Wilmer Flores. Elly De La Cruz scores. Mike Ford to 2nd.2–2
2Tyler Fitzgerald singles on a pop up to right fielder Jake Fraley. Heliot Ramos scores.1–2
1Thairo Estrada homers (6) on a fly ball to left center field.1–1
1Spencer Steer doubles (9) on a sharp fly ball to left fielder Tyler Fitzgerald. Elly De La Cruz scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








