Yankees at Giants
Last play · Casey Schmitt flies out to left fielder Alex Verdugo.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYY 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 4 – 3 SF
Yankees led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Giants favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Aaron Judge homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Juan Soto scores. (inning 1) — -22% Yankees
8Giancarlo Stanton homers (14) on a fly ball to left field. Alex Verdugo scores.7–3
8Alex Verdugo triples (1) on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Aaron Judge scores.5–3
5Brett Wisely singles on a ground ball to right fielder Juan Soto. Heliot Ramos scores.4–3
3Casey Schmitt homers (1) on a fly ball to left center field. Trenton Brooks scores.4–2
3Alex Verdugo singles on a ground ball to left fielder Heliot Ramos. Anthony Volpe scores. Aaron Judge to 2nd.4–0
3Juan Soto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Heliot Ramos. DJ LeMahieu scores. Anthony Volpe to 3rd.3–0
1Aaron Judge homers (21) on a fly ball to left center field. Juan Soto scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
