Yankees at Giants
Last play · Matt Chapman lines out to center fielder Aaron Judge.
Win probability
Giants0%
NYY 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalNYY 3 – 3 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-135 / +115
Giants favored ↑50%Yankees favored ↓
Biggest swing · Juan Soto homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Anthony Volpe scores. (inning 9) — -71% Yankees
9Giancarlo Stanton hits a ground-rule double (9) on a line drive to right field. Aaron Judge scores.7–5
9Juan Soto homers (17) on a fly ball to right center field. Anthony Volpe scores.6–5
9Anthony Volpe triples (5) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Luis Matos. Jose Trevino scores.4–5
6Heliot Ramos singles on a line drive to left fielder Alex Verdugo. Jorge Soler scores. Luis Matos scores. Curt Casali to 2nd.3–5
5Alex Verdugo doubles (12) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Luis Matos. Anthony Volpe scores. Juan Soto scores. Giancarlo Stanton to 3rd.3–3
4Casey Schmitt homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.1–3
3Heliot Ramos homers (3) on a fly ball to center field.1–2
2Casey Schmitt singles on a line drive to center fielder Aaron Judge. Jorge Soler scores.1–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
