Astros at Giants
Last play · Mauricio Dubón strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
HOU 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 5 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Giants favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Slater singles on a line drive to center fielder Mauricio Dubón. Jorge Soler scores. Brett Wisely scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd. (inning 4) — +16% Giants
6Yordan Alvarez homers (14) on a fly ball to center field. Alex Bregman scores.3–5
4Heliot Ramos out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Mauricio Dubón. Mike Yastrzemski scores.1–5
4Austin Slater singles on a line drive to center fielder Mauricio Dubón. Jorge Soler scores. Brett Wisely scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd.1–4
4Jeremy Peña singles on a ground ball to first baseman Wilmer Flores. Yordan Alvarez scores.1–2
3Matt Chapman doubles (18) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Mauricio Dubón. Austin Slater scores.0–2
3Wilmer Flores out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Throwing error by left fielder Yordan Alvarez.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














