Astros at Giants
Last play · Michael Conforto strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
HOU 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 3 – 1 SF
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 47.8% · hold 4.5%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference+100 / -120
Giants favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman. Trey Cabbage scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. Throwing error by third baseman Matt Chapman. (inning 5) — -27% Astros
5Alex Bregman singles on a ground ball to third baseman Matt Chapman. Trey Cabbage scores. Mauricio Dubón scores. Throwing error by third baseman Matt Chapman.3–1
3Brett Wisely homers (2) on a fly ball to right field.1–1
3Jose Altuve grounds out, second baseman Thairo Estrada to first baseman Wilmer Flores. Mauricio Dubón scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














