Cubs at Giants
Last play · Wilmer Flores walks. Patrick Bailey scores. Nick Ahmed to 3rd. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.
Win probability
Giants100%
CHC 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 4 – 1 SF
Cubs led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Giants favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Slater out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Thairo Estrada scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd. Nick Ahmed to 2nd. (inning 9) — +42% Giants
9Wilmer Flores walks. Patrick Bailey scores. Nick Ahmed to 3rd. Heliot Ramos to 2nd.4–5
9Austin Slater out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Thairo Estrada scores. Patrick Bailey to 3rd. Nick Ahmed to 2nd.4–4
9Michael Conforto out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Matt Chapman scores.4–3
6Nick Ahmed homers (1) on a fly ball to left field.4–2
5Matt Chapman homers (9) on a fly ball to left field.4–1
5Dansby Swanson doubles (11) on a sharp line drive to left fielder Luis Matos. Cody Bellinger scores. Ian Happ to 3rd.4–0
5Ian Happ grounds into a force out, second baseman Thairo Estrada to shortstop Nick Ahmed. Seiya Suzuki scores. Cody Bellinger to 3rd. Christopher Morel out at 2nd. Ian Happ to 1st.3–0
5Cody Bellinger singles on a ground ball to right fielder Austin Slater. Nico Hoerner scores. Seiya Suzuki to 2nd.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














