Cubs at Giants
Last play · Christopher Morel grounds out, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman David Villar.
Win probability
Giants100%
CHC 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalCHC 1 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Giants favored ↑50%Cubs favored ↓
Biggest swing · Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luis Matos. Nico Hoerner scores. (inning 3) — -13% Cubs
8Matt Chapman singles on a ground ball to left fielder Ian Happ. Heliot Ramos scores. Patrick Bailey scores. Matt Chapman to 2nd.1–5
8Jorge Soler out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Pete Crow-Armstrong. Brett Wisely scores. Heliot Ramos to 3rd. Patrick Bailey to 2nd.1–3
3Michael Busch singles on a ground ball to right fielder Luis Matos. Nico Hoerner scores.1–2
2David Villar out on a sacrifice fly to left fielder Ian Happ. Matt Chapman scores.0–2
2Michael Conforto singles on a ground ball to right fielder Cody Bellinger. Jorge Soler scores. Matt Chapman to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














