Braves at Giants
Last play · Heliot Ramos flies out sharply to left fielder Jarred Kelenic.
Win probability
Giants0%
ATL 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 3 – 2 SF
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Giants favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman walks. (inning 8) — +32% Giants
10Travis d'Arnaud singles on a ground ball to second baseman Casey Schmitt. Luke Williams scores.4–3
8Matt Chapman walks.3–3
3Tyler Fitzgerald homers (13) on a fly ball to left center field.3–2
3Travis d'Arnaud homers (13) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
2Patrick Bailey grounds out, second baseman Whit Merrifield to pitcher Charlie Morton. Matt Chapman scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 2nd.2–1
2Jorge Soler doubles (25) on a line drive to center fielder Heliot Ramos. Whit Merrifield scores.2–0
2Ramón Laureano homers (5) on a fly ball to right field.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
