Marlins at Giants
Last play · Otto Lopez grounds out softly to first baseman LaMonte Wade Jr.
Win probability
Giants100%
MIA 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 0 – 0 SF
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 9.5 ↓
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -145
Giants favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Matt Chapman doubles (33) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cristian Pache. Brett Wisely scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Heliot Ramos scores. (inning 8) — +66% Giants
8Matt Chapman doubles (33) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Cristian Pache. Brett Wisely scores. Mike Yastrzemski scores. Heliot Ramos scores.1–3
7David Hensley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Mike Yastrzemski. Derek Hill scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
