Braves at Giants
Last play · Matt Olson strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants100%
ATL 0%SF 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 0 – 2 SF
Giants led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-105 / -115
Giants favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Grant McCray singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Max Fried. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd. (inning 2) — +10% Giants
7Matt Chapman doubles (31) on a sharp line drive to right fielder Ramón Laureano. Heliot Ramos scores.0–6
6Grant McCray homers (1) on a fly ball to center field.0–5
6Casey Schmitt homers (5) on a line drive to left field. Mike Yastrzemski scores.0–4
2Tyler Fitzgerald out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Michael Harris II. Mike Yastrzemski scores.0–2
2Grant McCray singles on a bunt ground ball to pitcher Max Fried. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Mike Yastrzemski to 3rd. Casey Schmitt to 2nd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
