Marlins at Giants
Last play · LaMonte Wade Jr. strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Giants0%
MIA 100%SF 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIA 2 – 1 SF
Marlins led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+225 / -275
Giants favored ↑50%Marlins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Bride scores. (inning 2) — -25% Marlins
8Michael Conforto homers (15) on a line drive to center field.4–3
7David Hensley grounds out softly, third baseman Matt Chapman to first baseman Mark Canha. Otto Lopez scores.4–2
6Tyler Fitzgerald singles on a line drive to left fielder Jesús Sánchez. Matt Chapman scores. Michael Conforto to 2nd.3–2
6Connor Norby homers (5) on a fly ball to left field.3–1
5Mike Yastrzemski grounds out, second baseman Connor Norby to first baseman David Hensley. Jerar Encarnacion scores. Brett Wisely to 3rd.2–1
2Griffin Conine homers (1) on a fly ball to right field. Jonah Bride scores.2–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
