Braves at Mariners
Last play · Cal Raleigh grounds out softly, pitcher Raisel Iglesias to first baseman Matt Olson.
Win probability
Mariners0%
ATL 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalATL 5 – 1 SEA
Braves led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 45.7% · hold 4.1%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-190 / +160
Mariners favored ↑50%Braves favored ↓
Biggest swing · Austin Riley triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Ozzie Albies scores. (inning 4) — -17% Braves
7Jorge Polanco singles on a line drive to left fielder Adam Duvall. Julio Rodríguez scores.5–2
5Jorge Polanco singles on a pop up to first baseman Matt Olson. Seby Zavala scores.5–1
4Matt Olson singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Austin Riley scores.5–0
4Austin Riley triples (2) on a ground ball to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Ozzie Albies scores.4–0
4Ronald Acuña Jr. singles on a ground ball to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Orlando Arcia scores.2–0
3Marcell Ozuna walks. Ronald Acuña Jr. scores. Austin Riley to 3rd. Matt Olson to 2nd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








