Royals at Mariners
Last play · Freddy Fermin strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
KC 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Freddy Fermin scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd. (inning 6) — -14% Royals
8Royals challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Luke Raley singles on a line drive to right fielder Hunter Renfroe. Leo Rivas scores. Luke Raley out at 2nd on the throw, right fielder Hunter Renfroe to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.2–4
8Bobby Witt Jr. grounds out softly, second baseman Josh Rojas to first baseman Ty France. Freddy Fermin scores.2–3
7Josh Rojas singles on a line drive to left fielder MJ Melendez. Dominic Canzone scores.1–3
6Bobby Witt Jr. out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Freddy Fermin scores. Kyle Isbel to 3rd.1–2
4Ty France homers (4) on a fly ball to left center field.0–2
2Luis Urías reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by third baseman Adam Frazier. Cal Raleigh scores. Luke Raley to 3rd. Dylan Moore to 2nd. Fielding error by third baseman Adam Frazier.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








