Astros at Mariners
Last play · Jon Singleton flies out to left fielder Luke Raley.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 1 SEA
Astros led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 44.7% · hold 4%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-115 / -105
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman. Ryan Bliss scores. Josh Rojas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Alex Bregman. (inning 8) — +34% Mariners
8Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to third baseman Alex Bregman. Ryan Bliss scores. Josh Rojas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 2nd. Throwing error by third baseman Alex Bregman.2–4
8Josh Rojas doubles (7) on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker, deflected by first baseman José Abreu. Jonatan Clase scores. Ryan Bliss to 3rd.2–2
4Alex Bregman homers (5) on a fly ball to left field. Jeremy Peña scores.2–1
1Julio Rodríguez singles on a ground ball to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Josh Rojas scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
