Royals at Mariners
Last play · Luis Urías lines out softly to shortstop Bobby Witt Jr.
Win probability
Mariners0%
KC 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 1 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 52.2% · hold 4.5%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+125 / -145
Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Nelson Velázquez homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Salvador Perez scores. (inning 7) — -53% Royals
9Mitch Haniger homers (6) on a fly ball to right field.4–2
8Maikel Garcia singles on a line drive to left fielder Sam Haggerty. Hunter Renfroe scores.4–1
7Nelson Velázquez homers (3) on a line drive to left center field. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Salvador Perez scores.3–1
4Luke Raley homers (3) on a line drive to right field.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








