Royals at Mariners
Last play · Dairon Blanco strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
KC 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalKC 0 – 4 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 48.9% · hold 4.7%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+130 / -150
Mariners favored ↑50%Royals favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Cal Raleigh scores. (inning 2) — +20% Mariners
8Ty France homers (3) on a fly ball to left field. Luke Raley scores.2–6
8Michael Massey doubles (4) on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Bobby Witt Jr. scores. Vinnie Pasquantino scores.2–4
3Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to right fielder Nelson Velázquez. Jorge Polanco scores. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.0–4
3Cal Raleigh singles on a sharp fly ball to center fielder Dairon Blanco. Julio Rodríguez scores. Jorge Polanco to 2nd.0–3
2Luke Raley homers (2) on a fly ball to center field. Cal Raleigh scores.0–2
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.








