Astros at Mariners
Last play · Jon Singleton strikes out swinging.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 2 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Ty France grounds out, third baseman Alex Bregman to first baseman José Abreu. (inning 8) — +12% Mariners
5Victor Caratini out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Mitch Haniger. Jon Singleton scores.2–3
5José Abreu singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Jake Meyers scores. Jon Singleton to 3rd.1–3
1Mitch Haniger singles on a ground ball to center fielder Jake Meyers. Mitch Garver scores. Ty France to 2nd.0–3
1Ty France singles on a ground ball to left fielder Yordan Alvarez. Julio Rodríguez scores. Mitch Garver to 2nd.0–2
1Cal Raleigh out on a sacrifice fly to center fielder Jake Meyers. J.P. Crawford scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
