Astros at Mariners
Last play · J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jonatan Clase scores.
Win probability
Mariners100%
HOU 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalHOU 1 – 1 SEA
Tied through 5
Total runs
7.5
opened 7.5
fair over 46.8% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+110 / -130
Mariners favored ↑50%Astros favored ↓
Biggest swing · Dominic Canzone grounds out, second baseman Jose Altuve to first baseman Mauricio Dubón. Jonatan Clase to 3rd. (inning 10) — +18% Mariners
10J.P. Crawford out on a sacrifice fly to right fielder Kyle Tucker. Jonatan Clase scores.1–2
5Dominic Canzone homers (5) on a line drive to right center field.1–1
4Jake Meyers singles on a fly ball to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Yordan Alvarez scores. Alex Bregman to 3rd.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.
