Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Ezequiel Duran grounds out, third baseman Josh Rojas to first baseman Tyler Locklear.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 2 – 3 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 50% · hold 4.8%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+105 / -125
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Mitch Garver homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Julio Rodríguez scores. (inning 1) — +24% Mariners
3Julio Rodríguez grounds into a force out, second baseman Marcus Semien to shortstop Ezequiel Duran. J.P. Crawford scores. Mitch Haniger out at 2nd. Julio Rodríguez to 1st.2–3
1Mitch Garver homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Julio Rodríguez scores.2–2
1Wyatt Langford singles on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Nathaniel Lowe scores.2–0
1Nathaniel Lowe doubles (7) on a sharp line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Marcus Semien scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














