Twins at Mariners
Last play · Mitch Haniger grounds out, second baseman Kyle Farmer to first baseman Carlos Santana.
Win probability
Mariners0%
MIN 100%SEA 0%
First 5 (F5)
finalMIN 3 – 2 SEA
Twins led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 51.1% · hold 4.7%
Run line
+1.5
Moneyline
reference-110 / -110
Mariners favored ↑50%Twins favored ↓
Biggest swing · Trevor Larnach homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Miranda scores. (inning 8) — -39% Twins
8Trevor Larnach homers (8) on a fly ball to center field. Jose Miranda scores.5–3
7Jorge Polanco singles on a sharp fly ball to right fielder Max Kepler. Luke Raley scores.3–3
5Luke Raley singles on a ground ball to second baseman Austin Martin. Josh Rojas scores. Julio Rodríguez to 3rd. Cal Raleigh to 2nd.3–2
5Mariners challenged (tag play), call on the field was overturned: Julio Rodríguez reaches on a fielder's choice, fielded by pitcher Joe Ryan. Dylan Moore scores. Josh Rojas to 2nd. Fielding error by pitcher Joe Ryan.3–1
5Jose Miranda singles on a line drive to left fielder Dylan Moore. Austin Martin scores.3–0
5Austin Martin doubles (9) on a fly ball to left fielder Dylan Moore. Max Kepler scores.2–0
1Trevor Larnach singles on a line drive to center fielder Julio Rodríguez. Willi Castro scores.1–0
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














