Rangers at Mariners
Last play · Corey Seager grounds out to first baseman Tyler Locklear.
Win probability
Mariners100%
TEX 0%SEA 100%
First 5 (F5)
finalTEX 0 – 2 SEA
Mariners led after 5
Total runs
6.5
opened 6.5
fair over 53.2% · hold 4.3%
Run line
-1.5
Moneyline
reference+120 / -140
Mariners favored ↑50%Rangers favored ↓
Biggest swing · Luke Raley doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Mitch Haniger scores. (inning 4) — +13% Mariners
8Tyler Locklear called out on strikes.0–5
8Dominic Canzone singles on a line drive to left fielder Wyatt Langford. Ryan Bliss scores. Luke Raley to 3rd.0–4
7Tyler Locklear homers (2) on a fly ball to left field.0–3
5Julio Rodríguez walks.0–2
4Luke Raley doubles (7) on a fly ball to right fielder Adolis García. Mitch Haniger scores.0–1
Velocity & spin from the MLB Stats API live feed. The fatigue read compares each pitcher's live fastball velocity to their fresh baseline and our fatigue-curve model (−0.61 mph / 100 pitches). Win probability is from our own base-out/inning/score table built on 2024–25 games.














